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	<title>Comments on: Headed North&#8230;</title>
	<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/</link>
	<description>The weblog of BioEE 467, Summer 2006, Cornell University</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jan 2010 05:51:29 +0000</pubDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=1.5.1-alpha</generator>

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		<title>by: PvM</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1598</link>
		<pubDate>Sat, 29 Jul 2006 17:53:37 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1598</guid>
					<description>So far the problem is that ID has failed to show empirical evidence (CSI is not empirical evidence) nor that 1) CSI is beyond law and/or regularity 2) that CSI is not beyond intelligent design.

In fact, I argue that CSI can mean at least two things

1. An intelligent design hypothesis may exist.
2. A natural design hypothesis may exist.

Lacking any way to describe the relative probability of 1 versus 2, ID can at most infer &quot;we don't know&quot;.


False positives are a major concern for the explanatory filter as they would render the filter useless and unreliable. It's the inevitable nature of false positives combined with the eliminative approach which makes ID powerless to compete with 'we don't know'</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>So far the problem is that ID has failed to show empirical evidence (CSI is not empirical evidence) nor that 1) CSI is beyond law and/or regularity 2) that CSI is not beyond intelligent design.</p>
	<p>In fact, I argue that CSI can mean at least two things</p>
	<p>1. An intelligent design hypothesis may exist.<br />
2. A natural design hypothesis may exist.</p>
	<p>Lacking any way to describe the relative probability of 1 versus 2, ID can at most infer &#8220;we don&#8217;t know&#8221;.</p>
	<p>False positives are a major concern for the explanatory filter as they would render the filter useless and unreliable. It&#8217;s the inevitable nature of false positives combined with the eliminative approach which makes ID powerless to compete with &#8216;we don&#8217;t know&#8217;
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		<title>by: David L. Hagen</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1577</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jul 2006 22:00:45 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1577</guid>
					<description>45 PVM &lt;blockquote&gt; If ID cannot show that this set is not empty then all they have done is potentially defined Design to be an empty set.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Not so - they would only have shown that their efforts have not been successful. Logically, the set still may or may not be empty.

To be successful, an experiment o test has to 
be sufficiently sensitive to test for the hypothesis, and satisfy the model parameters, including looking in the right place and lookin at the right time. False negatives do not disprove ID. ID tries to model methods to show positive correlation of empirical evidence with the model (Complex Specified Complexity) to a sufficent degree that is reasonbly beyond any possibility of law or chance in the known universe over all time at the fastest possible rates or equivalent number of operations. e.g., parts per 10^120.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>45 PVM<br />
<blockquote> If ID cannot show that this set is not empty then all they have done is potentially defined Design to be an empty set.</p></blockquote>
	<p>Not so - they would only have shown that their efforts have not been successful. Logically, the set still may or may not be empty.</p>
	<p>To be successful, an experiment o test has to<br />
be sufficiently sensitive to test for the hypothesis, and satisfy the model parameters, including looking in the right place and lookin at the right time. False negatives do not disprove ID. ID tries to model methods to show positive correlation of empirical evidence with the model (Complex Specified Complexity) to a sufficent degree that is reasonbly beyond any possibility of law or chance in the known universe over all time at the fastest possible rates or equivalent number of operations. e.g., parts per 10^120.
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		<title>by: David L. Hagen</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1576</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jul 2006 21:49:09 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1576</guid>
					<description>PVM 45:
&lt;blockquote&gt;Hagge: 33. PVM asks “explain why we should accept position 2.2, that intelligent design is the residue of elimation of chance and regularity?” Your dismissal of ID based on statement of the presupposition evidences hasty superficial response, conflating theory with hypothesis.

On the contrary, it shows a major disagreement with a main premise. If ID cannot show that this set is not empty then all they have done is potentially defined Design to be an empty set. In other words, any event that would trigger the design inference would be likely to be a false positive.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
I am trying to state the presuppositions, to lay the foundation on which to base and test hypotheses. ie.
Presupposition: 
&lt;blockquote&gt;2.2 Intelligent cause may be distinguishable from law or chance: ID&lt;/blockquote&gt;
This is saying ID &lt;b&gt;PRESUPPOSES that it MAY BE POSSIBLE to distinguish an intelligent cause from law or chance, based upon empirical evidence.&lt;/b&gt;
This explicitly DOES NOT SAY that a hypothesis has/has not been made, NOR whether that hypothesis has been tested.
This PRESUPPOSITION is made to explicitly counter atheists and others who try to &lt;i&gt;a priori&lt;/i&gt; impose &lt;b&gt;methodological naturalism&lt;/b&gt; i.e., that we can ONLY study non-intelligent natural causes.

So do you accept that &lt;b&gt;ID&lt;/b&gt; makes this presupposition, and that its subsequent hypotheses are made based on this PRESUPPOSITION?
(NOT that you or others hold this.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>PVM 45:</p>
	<blockquote><p>Hagge: 33. PVM asks “explain why we should accept position 2.2, that intelligent design is the residue of elimation of chance and regularity?” Your dismissal of ID based on statement of the presupposition evidences hasty superficial response, conflating theory with hypothesis.</p>
	<p>On the contrary, it shows a major disagreement with a main premise. If ID cannot show that this set is not empty then all they have done is potentially defined Design to be an empty set. In other words, any event that would trigger the design inference would be likely to be a false positive.</p></blockquote>
	<p>I am trying to state the presuppositions, to lay the foundation on which to base and test hypotheses. ie.<br />
Presupposition: </p>
	<blockquote><p>2.2 Intelligent cause may be distinguishable from law or chance: ID</p></blockquote>
	<p>This is saying ID <b>PRESUPPOSES that it MAY BE POSSIBLE to distinguish an intelligent cause from law or chance, based upon empirical evidence.</b><br />
This explicitly DOES NOT SAY that a hypothesis has/has not been made, NOR whether that hypothesis has been tested.<br />
This PRESUPPOSITION is made to explicitly counter atheists and others who try to <i>a priori</i> impose <b>methodological naturalism</b> i.e., that we can ONLY study non-intelligent natural causes.</p>
	<p>So do you accept that <b>ID</b> makes this presupposition, and that its subsequent hypotheses are made based on this PRESUPPOSITION?<br />
(NOT that you or others hold this.)
</p>
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		<title>by: alienward</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1572</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jul 2006 18:14:39 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1572</guid>
					<description>Ok, I started a thread titled &quot;Hiding from the Age of the Earth&quot; in the Intelligent Design Forum on the Access Research Network (www.arn.org) site.  Looking forward to your answers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Ok, I started a thread titled &#8220;Hiding from the Age of the Earth&#8221; in the Intelligent Design Forum on the Access Research Network (www.arn.org) site.  Looking forward to your answers.
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		<title>by: Hannah</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1570</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jul 2006 17:08:41 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1570</guid>
					<description>Alienward--
&lt;blockquote&gt;I have a few questions for Hannah and any other IDEA club member: &lt;/blockquote&gt;
I'd be happy to answer your questions, but this is &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; an IDEA Club weblog and the thread you're on is &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; related to the age of the earth, so you'll have to ask them elsewhere. </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Alienward&#8211;</p>
	<blockquote><p>I have a few questions for Hannah and any other IDEA club member: </p></blockquote>
	<p>I&#8217;d be happy to answer your questions, but this is <i>not</i> an IDEA Club weblog and the thread you&#8217;re on is <i>not</i> related to the age of the earth, so you&#8217;ll have to ask them elsewhere.
</p>
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		<title>by: alienward</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1569</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jul 2006 17:00:14 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1569</guid>
					<description>From the IDEA Center FAQ:

&lt;blockquote&gt;Does IDEA take a position on the age of the earth? 

The age of the earth is not an issue related to intelligent design theory, nor is it necessarily even related to the validity of evolutionary theory, nor is it even related to the validity of religions, including Christianity. For this reason, IDEA finds no reasons from its mission statement to make any statements about the age of the earth.&lt;/blockquote&gt;I have a few questions for Hannah and any other IDEA club member:

If you believe the age of the earth is not related to the validity of evolutionary theory, could you please explain why?

If you believe the age of the earth is related to the validity of evolutionary theory, could you please explain why the IDEA Center claims it isn’t?

Could you please explain why an organization not willing to make a statement about the age of the earth would not fundamentally be an anti-scientific organization?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>From the IDEA Center FAQ:</p>
	<blockquote><p>Does IDEA take a position on the age of the earth? </p>
	<p>The age of the earth is not an issue related to intelligent design theory, nor is it necessarily even related to the validity of evolutionary theory, nor is it even related to the validity of religions, including Christianity. For this reason, IDEA finds no reasons from its mission statement to make any statements about the age of the earth.</blockquote>
I have a few questions for Hannah and any other IDEA club member:</p>
	<p>If you believe the age of the earth is not related to the validity of evolutionary theory, could you please explain why?</p>
	<p>If you believe the age of the earth is related to the validity of evolutionary theory, could you please explain why the IDEA Center claims it isn’t?</p>
	<p>Could you please explain why an organization not willing to make a statement about the age of the earth would not fundamentally be an anti-scientific organization?
</p>
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		<title>by: Allen MacNeill</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1512</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Jul 2006 17:11:48 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1512</guid>
					<description>As to Hannah being &quot;interrogated&quot;, I don't perceive this as having happened, certainly not in our seminar. On the contrary, her comments and questions have been an integral part of our discussions, and have often helped the members of the class come to clarity on many issues, especially mathematical models.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>As to Hannah being &#8220;interrogated&#8221;, I don&#8217;t perceive this as having happened, certainly not in our seminar. On the contrary, her comments and questions have been an integral part of our discussions, and have often helped the members of the class come to clarity on many issues, especially mathematical models.
</p>
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		<title>by: ivy privy</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1467</link>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Jul 2006 20:02:55 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1467</guid>
					<description>&lt;i&gt;Salvador began the discussion of young earth creationism,&lt;/i&gt;

I will take credit for introducing that, but so subtly you probably didn't notice.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>Salvador began the discussion of young earth creationism,</i></p>
	<p>I will take credit for introducing that, but so subtly you probably didn&#8217;t notice.
</p>
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		<title>by: ivy privy</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1466</link>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Jul 2006 20:00:19 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1466</guid>
					<description>&lt;i&gt;My only complaint is I don’t like seeing students like Hannah being interrogated. The students are giving the participants a hearing in this discussion. That is to say, we participants are their guests.

Yet I see Hannah being interrogated. I don’t think that’s appropriate. We are here to argue our case before them, not to interrogate them.&lt;/i&gt;

With respect to this course, Hannah is not a student, but as Allen MacNeill states:

&lt;b&gt;Hannah/Cornell/Junior/invited guest, CU IDEA Club/chemistry &amp;amp; physics&lt;/b&gt;

I suggest if someone wishes not to be interrogated, they refrain from making assertions they may be asked to defend.
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p><i>My only complaint is I don’t like seeing students like Hannah being interrogated. The students are giving the participants a hearing in this discussion. That is to say, we participants are their guests.</p>
	<p>Yet I see Hannah being interrogated. I don’t think that’s appropriate. We are here to argue our case before them, not to interrogate them.</i></p>
	<p>With respect to this course, Hannah is not a student, but as Allen MacNeill states:</p>
	<p><b>Hannah/Cornell/Junior/invited guest, CU IDEA Club/chemistry &amp; physics</b></p>
	<p>I suggest if someone wishes not to be interrogated, they refrain from making assertions they may be asked to defend.
</p>
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		<title>by: secondclass</title>
		<link>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1339</link>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Jul 2006 15:56:16 +0100</pubDate>
		<guid>http://evolutionanddesign.blogsome.com/2006/07/21/headed-north/#comment-1339</guid>
					<description>Allen, I certainly agree that we don't have enough information to calculate the specified complexity of biological systems.  Even worse, there's no way of determining whether we have enough information or not.  The null hypothesis is supposed to take into account &quot;Darwinian and other material mechanisms,&quot; but there's no way to determine whether our list of material mechanisms is complete.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Allen, I certainly agree that we don&#8217;t have enough information to calculate the specified complexity of biological systems.  Even worse, there&#8217;s no way of determining whether we have enough information or not.  The null hypothesis is supposed to take into account &#8220;Darwinian and other material mechanisms,&#8221; but there&#8217;s no way to determine whether our list of material mechanisms is complete.
</p>
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